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TATAPOWER Consensus Forecast
No. of reports in last year
1
No. of analysts
1
Average Consensus Forecast
120
Consensus Potential
-103.67%
TATAPOWER Price Target Potential
| Brokerage | Target | Potential |
|---|---|---|
| Edelweiss | 120 | -103.67% |
TATAPOWER Ratings
Long term TATAPOWER rating by FrontPage users
- ★★
- ★★
- ★★
- ★★
- ★★
5/5 (2 Ratings)
1 TATAPOWER share price target reports by brokerages below. See what is analyst's view on TATAPOWER share price forecast, rating, estimates, valuation and prediction behind the target. You may use these research report forecasts for long-term to medium term for your investment or trades in 2020.
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TATAPOWER Share Price Target
TATAPOWER Share Price Target - Broker Reports - 2021
Edelweiss
9-Apr-21
Price @ Call: 104.05
Target: 120
BUY
TATAPOWER Share Price Target - Broker Reports - 2020
Motilal Oswal
23-Aug-20
Price @ Call: 62.34
Target: 66
BUY
TATAPOWER Share Price Target - Broker Reports - 2019
Motilal Oswal
10-Nov-19
Price @ Call: 59.49
Target: 66
NEUTRAL
Debt remains elevated; Maintain Neutral Net debt remains elevated at INR476b due to continuing capex and stretched receivables for its renewable portfolio. Besides, the upcoming new regulations for Indonesian coal mines (concerning tax and royalty) could be an overhang over the stock. The amendment of Mundra PPA, on the other hand, still awaits state approval and we do not build in any benefit from this. Successful renegotiation of this PPA - based on HPC recommendations - would provide an upside to our estimates. Maintain Neutral with SOTP-based target price of INR66/share.
Geojit Financial Services
23-Aug-19
Price @ Call: 54.33
Target: 56
HOLD
We expect the company to grow steadily over the next few years supported with ongoing capacity expansion in solar businesses. We maintain our HOLD rating with a target price of Rs. 56 based on 8.5x FY21E P/E.
Edelweiss
1-Aug-19
Price @ Call: 59.56
Target: 90
BUY
Sale of international assets, stake sale in Tata Projects, sale of defence business (subject to approval by NCLT), acquisition of Prayagraj, Mundra resolution, etc., are some of the key triggers. We take cognizance of the uncertainty around applicability of the draft coal mining policy in Indonesia and factor it by way of higher discounting rate. Hence, we revise our TP to INR90 (earlier INR94). We maintain ‘BUY’. The stock is trading at FY20/21E EV/EBITDA of 9.5/9.2x.
Indiabulls Ventures
26-Jun-19
Price @ Call: 66.85
Target: 85
BUY
Edelweiss
18-Apr-19
Price @ Call: 70.64
Target: 96
BUY
CERC’s approval of supplementary PPA for Adani Power’s Mundra plant (APML) sets the precedence for resolution of all the three troubled Mundra plants. While the market seems to be skeptic about the same holding true for Tata Power’s (TPCL) Mundra plant (CGPL), we do expect resolution (could be partial also) of CGPL albeit with a delay as the PPA involves five beneficiaries. We peg likely tariff hike from the favourable order at INR0.35-0.40/kwh from the current under recoveries of INR0.85- 0.90/kwh. A 100% successful resolution could result in INR9-10bn EBITDA (~15% of FY20E EBITDA) swing. We await the final order to effect changes in our financials. That said, we have already factored in CGPL’s resolution probability (Power - Powering past pessimism) in our SOTP. However, we revise our target price to INR96 (earlier-INR101) factoring in lower than expected tariff hike based on CERC order for APML. Maintain’BUY’.
Axis Direct
18-Feb-19
Price @ Call: 69.25
Target: 77.6
BUY
We reiterate a BUY with a target of Rs. 77.6
Renewables on strong growth trajectory: The company’s renewable portfolio ( minus EPC) reported 20% increase in EBITDA in Q3FY19 to Rs 4.7 bn on improvement in PLFs and capacity addition. Moreover, extension of Mumbai PPA for 5 years till FY24 reassures standalone regulated business to remain steady state. Underlying EBITDA on track: Adjusting for the one-offs in the coal companies, Tata Power’s underlying EBITDA stood at Rs 25 bn in Q3 (9M: Rs 74 bn – which reassures that TPWR is on track to deliver annualized underlying EBITDA of Rs 100 bn. Debt reduction plan to strengthen balance sheet: Tata Power reduced debt by ~ Rs 3200 cr in Q3 with net D/E at 2.24 x. The company plans to reduce debt / equity to less than 2x by FY2020 through(a) pending receipts from sale of defense business (~ Rs 2200 cr) (b) receipts from Arutmin mine ( ~Rs 1800 cr) (c) stake sale in Tata Projects ( estimated to fetch ~ Rs 3500 cr) and other non-core assets over next 2 years. This is expected to improve bottom line and key driver for EPS growth going forward. Mundra UMPP: The company is undertaking measures such as a) blending low GCV coal (32% in Q3 vs. 10%,YoY), (b) competitive coal procurement, and (c) lower cost of funding by replacement of ECBs with rupee loans– to improve operational efficiencies of plant. Further the management remains optimistic on the tariff revision; outcome to emerge only post upcoming elections. Any positive outcome on tariff revision for Mundra UMPP to provide additional upside.
Renewables on strong growth trajectory: The company’s renewable portfolio ( minus EPC) reported 20% increase in EBITDA in Q3FY19 to Rs 4.7 bn on improvement in PLFs and capacity addition. Moreover, extension of Mumbai PPA for 5 years till FY24 reassures standalone regulated business to remain steady state. Underlying EBITDA on track: Adjusting for the one-offs in the coal companies, Tata Power’s underlying EBITDA stood at Rs 25 bn in Q3 (9M: Rs 74 bn – which reassures that TPWR is on track to deliver annualized underlying EBITDA of Rs 100 bn. Debt reduction plan to strengthen balance sheet: Tata Power reduced debt by ~ Rs 3200 cr in Q3 with net D/E at 2.24 x. The company plans to reduce debt / equity to less than 2x by FY2020 through(a) pending receipts from sale of defense business (~ Rs 2200 cr) (b) receipts from Arutmin mine ( ~Rs 1800 cr) (c) stake sale in Tata Projects ( estimated to fetch ~ Rs 3500 cr) and other non-core assets over next 2 years. This is expected to improve bottom line and key driver for EPS growth going forward. Mundra UMPP: The company is undertaking measures such as a) blending low GCV coal (32% in Q3 vs. 10%,YoY), (b) competitive coal procurement, and (c) lower cost of funding by replacement of ECBs with rupee loans– to improve operational efficiencies of plant. Further the management remains optimistic on the tariff revision; outcome to emerge only post upcoming elections. Any positive outcome on tariff revision for Mundra UMPP to provide additional upside.
TATAPOWER Share Price Target - Broker Reports - 2018
Axis Direct
10-Dec-18
Price @ Call: 77.72
Target: 87
BUY
Indiabulls Ventures
14-Nov-18
Price @ Call: 75.95
Target: 100
BUY
Edelweiss
30-Oct-18
Price @ Call: 77.5
Target: 87
BUY
Motilal Oswal
4-Aug-18
Price @ Call: 72.42
Target: 75
NEUTRAL
Edelweiss
27-Jul-18
Price @ Call: 70.85
Target: 92
BUY
Motilal Oswal
27-Jul-18
Price @ Call: 70.85
Target: 75
NEUTRAL
ICICIdirect.com
13-Jun-18
Price @ Call: 77.85
Target: 96
BUY
Edelweiss
7-Jun-18
Price @ Call: 78
Target: 98
BUY
Edelweiss
3-May-18
Price @ Call: 86.95
Target: 98
BUY
Motilal Oswal
3-May-18
Price @ Call: 86.95
Target: 77
SELL
Reliance Securities
26-Feb-18
Price @ Call: 86.25
Target: 90
HOLD
Axis Direct
21-Feb-18
Price @ Call: 85.85
Target: 136
BUY
Motilal Oswal
14-Feb-18
Price @ Call: 87.37
Target: 74
SELL
Edelweiss
15-Feb-18
Price @ Call: 87
Target: 101
BUY
Systematix Shares & Stocks
1-Jan-18
Price @ Call: 93.85
Target: 135
BUY
TATAPOWER Share Price Target - Broker Reports - 2017
Edelweiss
14-Nov-17
Price @ Call: 82.29
Target: 96
BUY
Motilal Oswal
4-Nov-17
Price @ Call: 86.25
Target: 72
SELL
Axis Direct
10-Nov-17
Price @ Call: 83.55
Target: 95
BUY
Motilal Oswal
30-Aug-17
Price @ Call: 76.9
Target: 71
SELL
Reliance Securities
24-Aug-17
Price @ Call: 78.8
Target: 88
BUY
Motilal Oswal
17-Aug-17
Price @ Call: 82.15
Target: 68
SELL
Edelweiss
17-Aug-17
Price @ Call: 82.15
Target: 87
BUY
Motilal Oswal
29-Jun-17
Price @ Call: 82
Target: 68
SELL
Axis Direct
31-May-17
Price @ Call: 81.36
Target: 86
HOLD
Edelweiss
23-May-17
Price @ Call: 80
Target: 87
BUY
Motilal Oswal
28-Apr-17
Price @ Call: 84
Target: 69
SELL
Kotak Securities
12-Apr-17
Price @ Call: 85.4
Target: 80
SELL
Axis Direct
17-Feb-17
Price @ Call: 82
Target: 83
HOLD
Edelweiss
13-Feb-17
Price @ Call: 83
Target: 85
BUY
India Nivesh
13-Feb-17
Price @ Call: 82
Target: 101
BUY
IIFL
10-Jan-17
Price @ Call: 76.3
Target: 90
BUY
TATAPOWER Share Price Target - Broker Reports - 2016
Edelweiss
25-May-16
Price @ Call: 73
Target: 82
BUY
ICICIdirect.com
24-May-16
Price @ Call: 71
Target: 79
BUY
Kotak Securities
30-Dec-16
Price @ Call: 76.5
Target: 85
BUY
Axis Direct
1-Dec-16
Price @ Call: 74
Target: 83
BUY
Edelweiss
30-Nov-16
Price @ Call: 74
Target: 85
BUY
Centrum
30-Nov-16
Price @ Call: 72.3
Target: 84
BUY
Geojit Financial Services
1-Sep-16
Price @ Call: 78.8
Target: 82
HOLD
Axis Direct
25-Aug-16
Price @ Call: 75
Target: 83
BUY
Edelweiss
23-Aug-16
Price @ Call: 75
Target: 84
BUY
Reliance Securities
10-Aug-16
Price @ Call: 74.15
Target: 85
BUY
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TATAPOWER Peer Stocks - Share Price Targets
SOURCE: Data from D'Market via Quandl. Intraday data delayed 15 minutes.
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