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saikattrader
Fundamental Stock Scans
🧵Intrinsic Value: Value Investing
1) #IntrinsicValue kya hai?
Yeh company ki true worth hai, based on uske future cash flows, assets, earnings aur business quality. Market price emotions se banti hai – kabhi overvalued, kabhi undervalued
Intrinsic value facts pe based hoti hai
2) Buffett ka Simple Definition:
"Intrinsic value woh number hai jo agar aap future ke saare cash flows predict kar sakein aur unhe appropriate discount rate se present mein laayein." Basically: Business aapko kitna cash dega future mein? Aaj uski value kya hai?
#ValueInvesting
3) Key Point: Price woh hai jo aap pay karte ho,
Value woh hai jo aapko milta hai .
Kaise Calculate Karein?
Formula:
Intrinsic Value = Σ [Future Cash Flow / (1 + Discount Rate)^n] + Terminal Value
Steps: Future Free Cash Flows project karo (historical earnings, growth dekho)
4) Discount Rate (WACC ya required return, jaise 8-12%)
Terminal Value (perpetual growth, usually 2-4%)
Sab present value mein laao
Per share value nikaalo
Agar calculate karna mushkil ho raha hai to readymade intrinsic value screener app me mil jayega
#StockMarketIndia
5) Simple Example (Hypothetical):
Maan lo ek company annual FCF ₹100 Cr generate karti hai, 10% growth 5 saal, phir 3% perpetual. Discount rate 10%. Rough calculation se intrinsic value nikal sakti hai. Agar market price isse kaafi kam hai → Buy signal!
#BenjaminGraham #DCF
6) Real mein detailed projections + sensitivity analysis karo (growth 8% vs 12%, discount 9% vs 11%).
Other Methods: Asset-based (Book value, Net-Net for deep value).
Earnings Power, Dividend Discount Model
#LongTermInvesting #IndianStocks #ShareMarket
#Compounding #ValueStocks
7) Historical Examples
Coca-Cola (1988): Market ne temporary issues pe price gira di. Buffett ne moat (brand) and consistent growing earnings ko dhyan me rakhke invest Kiya tha
Washington Post (1970s): Assets + earnings ke hisab se deeply undervalued tha & then massive return
8) Apple (2016 onwards): #WarrenBuffett ne cash generation aur ecosystem moat dekha jab P/E reasonable tha.
Crises mein (2008) bahut stocks 50%+ below intrinsic value the but jab market recover Kiya to in stocks me huge return Mila
9) Famous Failure to Avoid:
Dot-com bubble (1999-2000) mein bahut tech stocks ki market price intrinsic se 5-10x zyada thi.
No cash flows, sirf hype. Crash hua.
Lesson: Hamesha Margin of Safety rakho (Graham/Buffett). Intrinsic se 30-50% sasta kharido taaki margin of safety rahe
10) Value Investing Strategies using Intrinsic Value
#MarginOfSafety: Price << Intrinsic Value (ideally 33-50% discount).
Moat wale Businesses: Durable competitive advantage (brand, network, cost)
Buy & Hold: Market volatility ko ignore karo, business improve hone do.
11) Circle of Competence: jo business samajh aye sirf usi me invest karo
Portfolio: 10-20 quality stocks, over-diversify mat karo.
PracticalTips for Indian Investors :-
Screener , Tickertape, ValuePickr use karo data ke liye
Annual reports padho
ROE, FCF growth, Debt dekho
12) Market crashes mein opportunities milti hain
Patience: Value investing mein 3-5+ saal hold common hai.
Risk: Galat projection → Avoid high uncertainty wale businesses (cyclical, tech disruption).
Kabhi kabhi price intrinsic value se kam hone ke baad bhi movement nehi aata
13) Common Mistakes:-
Sirf low P/E ya P/B dekhna (ho sakta hai value trap).
Growth ignore karna
Short-term news pe react karna
Best investors bhi estimate karte hain, exact koi pata nehi kar pata
Intrinsic Value seekhna important hai
Start small – 1-2 stocks pe practice karo
In short intrinsic value ek equation hai koi 100% multibagger formula nehi
Disc :- I am not a SEBI registered advisor or analyst.
This is not recommendations or stock tips
This is my analysis
Jun 23 11:35 AM
 ·  View Votes
NSE:BSE price when posted: 3,968.4
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