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OIL Consensus Forecast

No. of reports in last year
3
No. of analysts
3
Average Consensus Forecast
189
Consensus Potential
52.79%

OIL Price Target Potential

BrokerageTargetPotential
Sharekhan16546.58%
Prabhudas Lilladher18652.61%
Motilal Oswal21659.19%

OIL Targets in FrontPage Forums

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OIL Ratings

Long term OIL rating by FrontPage users
5/5 (4 Ratings)

3 OIL share price target reports by brokerages below. See what is analyst's view on OIL share price forecast, rating, estimates, valuation and prediction behind the target. You may use these research report forecasts for long-term to medium term for your investment or trades in 2020.
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OIL Share Price Target

OIL Share Price Target - Broker Reports - 2020

11-Feb-20
Price @ Call: 132.24
Target: 165
BUY
Valuation – Maintain Buy rating on Oil India with revised PT Rs. 165: We have lowered our FY2020E earnings per share (EPS) and FY2021E EPS by 13-23% to factor in: 1) lower oil & gas realisation given recent weakness in crude oil prices and domestic gas prices are also expected to decline in H1FY2021E and 2) lower oil and gas sales volume assumption. We have also introduced our FY2022E EPS of Rs. 21.8. Oil India is trading at an attractive valuation of 6.1x FY2022E EPS (29% discount to its historical average one-year forward PE multiple of 8.7x) and also offers high dividend yield of 7-8%. Hence, we maintain our Buy rating on Oil India with revised SoTP-based PT of Rs. 165.
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12-Feb-20
Price @ Call: 134.2
Target: 186
ACCUMULATE
We lower our estimates by 2-7% to factor in lower volume growth and realization. OINL stock has underperformed broader index due to weak volume trajectory and concerns of stake divestment by government. Capital allocation risk is also there given investments in Mozambique where returns will be back ended. We maintain ‘Accumulate’ with a price target of Rs186 (Rs231 earlier) based on 8x FY21E.
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OIL Share Price Target - Broker Reports - 2019

10-Nov-19
Price @ Call: 166.38
Target: 216
BUY
We model Brent price at ~USD67.7/USD70bbl and INR/USD at 71.3/73.8 for FY20/FY21. We expect EPS of INR28.2/INR30.1 in FY20/FY21. We believe USD60-70/bbl should not be a concern for return of the subsidy regime. The stock trades at 5.9x FY20E EPS of INR28.2. Dividend yield is attractive at 7.6%/8.1% for FY20/FY21. For OINL, we use SOTP-based fair value of 8x FY21E adj. EPS of INR26.8, and add investments of INR49 to arrive at a price target of INR216. Maintain Buy.
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19-Aug-19
Price @ Call: 153.1
Target: 200
BUY
Maintain Buy rating on Oil India with a revised PT of Rs. 200:
We have lowered our FY2020 and FY2021 earnings estimates to factor in lower oil and gas sales volume assumption. The sharp correction of 12% in the stock price of Oil India in the last one month has made the valuation attractive at 5.6x its FY2021 EPS, which is at 35% discount to the historical average one-year forward PE multiple of 8.6x. Moreover, the stock offers healthy dividend yield of 7-8%. Hence, we maintain our Buy rating on Oil India with a revised SoTP-based PT of Rs. 200. The downward revision in our PT for Oil India is on account of cut in our FY2021E EPS and lower value of listed investments.
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13-Aug-19
Price @ Call: 150.47
Target: 225
BUY
We maintain BUY on Oil India post an in-line 1QFY20. Although we do agree that there are concerns over lack of production growth for OIL, we think that the current valuations (2.3x FY21 EV/EBITDA and 4.7x FY21 PER) indicate strong pessimism. Upstream companies were out of flavor despite realising market price for crude oil, mainly on account of the subsidy sharing with OMCs. We expect oil prices to remain muted owing to the robust supply from US Shale. This is despite production cuts from OPEC and non-OPEC countries. Thus, there is no concern over the subsidy sharing. OIL generates OCF yield of almost 30% and divided yield of ~8.5% over FY20/21E. The current valuations are contextually lower at 2.3x FY21E EV/EBITDA and 4.8x FY21 PER. Our TP is Rs 225/sh (6x Jun-21E standalone + Rs 84 from investments). Maintain BUY.
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14-Feb-19
Price @ Call: 171.29
Target: 230
BUY
14-Feb-19
Price @ Call: 172.75
Target: 227
BUY
At attractive valuation OIL’s stock price has underperformed (-35%) the broader market (+4%) since Jan-18 (1) In the anticipation of subsidy sharing in a rising oil price environment and (2) Lower allocation of petroleum subsidy in the FY19 budget. The current stock price factors in the subsidy burden on the domestic Exploration and Production (E&P) companies. Strong shale oil supplies from USA will provide a cap on crude prices. However, the supply cut by OPEC and non-OPEC countries (excluding USA), will provide strength to crude prices in near term. Share of crude oil revenue in total revenue is ~80% for OIL, therefore with no subsidy sharing with OMCs, OIL remains a pure play on crude oil prices. Our TP is Rs 227/sh (6x Dec20E standalone + Rs 82 from investments). Maintain BUY.
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13-Feb-19
Price @ Call: 169.85
Target: 239
BUY
Characterized by higher gas revenue, lower tax rate, record-high quarterly PAT
Valuation and view: 9MFY19 EBITDA stands at INR44.0 (+42% YoY). 9MFY19 PAT stands at INR28.0 (+55% YoY). Due to better than expected results, we raise our FY19 EPS from INR27.7 to INR29.3. We model Brent price at ~USD70/70bbl and INR/USD at 73.1/74.2 for FY20/21. We expect EPS of INR30.7/31.1 in FY20/21. We believe USD60-70/bbl should not be a concern for return of subsidy regime. Rising gas price would be a positive for the stock. Our SOTP-based fair value stands at INR239 (incl. investment value of IN67). We value OINL at 8x Dec’20E adj. EPS of INR27.5, and add investments of INR67 in IOCL, NRL and BCPL. The stock trades at 5.5x FY20E EPS of INR30.7. Dividend yield is attractive at ~8.4%. Maintain Buy.
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13-Feb-19
Price @ Call: 169.85
Target: 236
ACCUMULATE

OIL Share Price Target - Broker Reports - 2018

19-Dec-18
Price @ Call: 179.47
Target: 215
BUY
18-Dec-18
Price @ Call: 177.7
Target: 200
BUY
13-Nov-18
Price @ Call: 198.95
Target: 236
ACCUMULATE
3-Sep-18
Price @ Call: 213.75
Target: 238
ACCUMULATE
16-Aug-18
Price @ Call: 207.9
Target: 248
ACCUMULATE
14-Aug-18
Price @ Call: 208.42
Target: 225
HOLD
14-Aug-18
Price @ Call: 208.42
Target: 296
BUY
30-May-18
Price @ Call: 219.19
Target: 297
BUY
30-May-18
Price @ Call: 225.6
Target: 266
ACCUMULATE
12-Feb-18
Price @ Call: 241.73
Target: 261.33
ACCUMULATE
10-Feb-18
Price @ Call: 239
Target: 283.33
BUY

OIL Share Price Target - Broker Reports - 2017

13-Nov-17
Price @ Call: 240.73
Target: 254
ACCUMULATE
12-Nov-17
Price @ Call: 243.05
Target: 278.67
BUY
14-Aug-17
Price @ Call: 186.1
Target: 211.33
BUY
1-Jun-17
Price @ Call: 204.8
Target: 240
HOLD
2-Feb-17
Price @ Call: 226.67
Target: 240
NEUTRAL
1-Feb-17
Price @ Call: 219.77
Target: 240
NEUTRAL

OIL Share Price Target - Broker Reports - 2016

28-Nov-16
Price @ Call: 321.99
Target: 353.38
BUY
29-Nov-16
Price @ Call: 321.8
Target: 353.38
BUY
6-Sep-16
Price @ Call: 292.48
Target: 345.11
BUY
9-Sep-16
Price @ Call: 298.38
Target: 375.94
BUY
7-Sep-16
Price @ Call: 292.48
Target: 244.36
SELL
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  • OIL Share Price Target Today- Technical Pivot Points (Classic)

    keyboard_arrow_down
    Upside Target 393.63
    Upside Target 292.32
    Upside Target 190.18
    Pivot88.87
    Downside Target 186.73
    Downside Target 285.42
    Downside Target 383.28
  • OIL Share Price Target weekly- Technical Pivot Points (Classic)

    keyboard_arrow_down
    Upside Target 3102.68
    Upside Target 2100.32
    Upside Target 198.48
    Pivot96.12
    Downside Target 194.28
    Downside Target 291.92
    Downside Target 390.08
  • OIL Share Price Target monthly- Technical Pivot Points (Classic)

    keyboard_arrow_down
    Upside Target 3109.6
    Upside Target 2106.25
    Upside Target 1100.5
    Pivot97.15
    Downside Target 191.4
    Downside Target 288.05
    Downside Target 382.3
  • OIL Share Price Target today- Technical Pivot Points (Fibonacci)

    keyboard_arrow_down
    Upside Target 392.32
    Upside Target 291
    Upside Target 190.18
    Pivot88.87
    Downside Target 187.55
    Downside Target 286.73
    Downside Target 385.42
  • OIL Share Price Target weekly- Technical Pivot Points (Fibonacci)

    keyboard_arrow_down
    Upside Target 3100.32
    Upside Target 298.71
    Upside Target 197.72
    Pivot96.12
    Downside Target 194.51
    Downside Target 293.52
    Downside Target 391.92
  • OIL Share Price Target monthly- Technical Pivot Points (Fibonacci)

    keyboard_arrow_down
    Upside Target 3106.25
    Upside Target 2102.77
    Upside Target 1100.63
    Pivot97.15
    Downside Target 193.67
    Downside Target 291.53
    Downside Target 388.05
SOURCE: Data from D'Market via Quandl. Intraday data delayed 15 minutes.
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