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What is a base and how to use stock charts to win big

A base visually represents a great stock's need to take a break. After a nice run-up in price, preferably 30 percent or more, such a stock will decline -- in most cases, mildly.

April 21, 2019 / 09:45 AM IST
 
 
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William O'Neil India

A base visually represents a great stock's need to take a break. After a nice run-up in price, preferably 30 percent or more, such a stock will decline -- in most cases, mildly.

This is often the beginning of a new base. At some point, its demand among mutual funds, banks, hedge funds will suddenly spike, and so does the stock price.

Some of the commonly observed ‘bases’ are cup-with-handle, consolidation, and double-bottom pattern.

Think of a base as similar to what mountaineers set up when they challenge the summit of Mount Everest or K2. They do not go all the way up in one straight shot.

Instead, they set up base camps along the way. Climb. Rest. Scale higher. Rest again. Climb again. Pause, and then reach the top.

All of these bases have strict requirements and particular specifications. Yet, all of them will show the same signs of institutional support and buying. Bases reflect the human emotions of fear and greed, interacting together.

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Using Stock Chart of Titan:

Not all the bases work out. During January 2018, Titan formed a cup-base pattern (1) and broke out of its pattern.

However, after the breakout, the stock again formed a double-bottom-base pattern (2). It broke out (3) again during January 2019, and gave 19 percent since then.

Before the break-out, a golden crossover took place, which is again a technical bullish indicator. Before the strong advance, the down days saw below-average volume, and (4), indicating no selling pressure from institutions.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment expert on Moneycontrol.com are his own and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

Moneycontrol Contributor
Moneycontrol Contributor
first published: Apr 21, 2019 09:45 am

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