Buy Hindustan Petroleum Corporation; target of Rs 354: Prabhudas Lilladher

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Prabhudas Lilladher's research report on Hindustan Petroleum Corporation

We tweak our earnings to factor changes in forex rate (USD/INR at Rs70/72.1 for FY20/21) and other minor changes post Annual report updation. During Q1, core performance for HPCL was hit by inventory loss and lower than expected GRMs. However, benign crude prices and recovery in refining margins is positive for the OMCs and hence we expect a much better Q2FY20.

Outlook

State PSUs are also likely to benefit from implementation of IMO2020 effective January given >40% diesel slate. Maintain BUY with a revised PT of Rs354 (Rs326) based on 10x FY21E.

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