CESC Ventures Ltd - Research Report

Private Client Research

Rating

Buy

Sector

Unspecified

Company

CESC Ventures Ltd

Unspecified


February 28, 2019

Sensex: 35867.44


CNX Nifty: 10792.50

NSE: CESCVENT


BSE: 542333

Reco Price
Rs. 475
Price Target (1.5 - 2 Years)
Rs. 884
Upside
86.11%

Date

February 28, 2019

Sensex

35867.44

CNX Nifty

10792.50

Exchange

Code

NSE

CESCVENT

BSE

542333

Stock Data

CMP (Rs)
498.35
Face value (Rs)
10
52 Week Range (Rs)
548.00 - 382.10
Market cap (Rs Crores)
1315.10
Price To Book Value (x)
0.00
P/E Ratio (x)
N/A
EV/EBIDTA (x)
0.00

One Year indexed Stock Performance

CESC Ventures Ltd Sensex
CESC Ventures Ltd
Return (%)
1m
3m
12m
36m
Absolute
0.29
-
-
-
Sensex
0.59
-0.84
4.92
55.93

Shareholders

(in %)
31-Dec
Promoter
49.92
Public
50.08
Others
00
Total
100

+91 22 6639 3000

research@stockaxis.com

Profile

CESC Ventures Limited (CVL) was incorporated in 2017 as a wholly owned subsidiary of CESC Limited, a flagship company of the RP-Sanjiv Goenka Group, engaged in the business of generation and distribution of electricity across Kolkata and Howrah in West Bengal. The company was incorporated with the objective of engaging in the business of owning, operating, investing and promoting business in the fields of information technology, business process outsourcing and such other ventures (including fast moving consumer goods business) as may be identified by our Board.

CVL was a part of CESC until 29th October 2018, when it got demerged along with the retail business of the group, Spencers Retail Limited. After the demerger, core business of CVL will be information technology and information technology related services. The company will provide all information technology related routine and expert services to the members of the RP-Sanjiv Goenka Group. With an initial focus on servicing the needs of CESC and its subsidiaries the company plans to gradually expand the scope of its operations and provide such services outside the Group as well.

Apart from the IT services business, the company will also own the following businesses:

  • Firstsource Solutions Limited (FSL), a company listed on BSE and NSE and engaged in the business of business process outsourcing. CVL will hold 54% in FSL and the balance will be held by public shareholders of FSL. FSL is among the leading business process outsourcing companies in India with delivery centres across India, the United States of America, the United Kingdom and Philippines. FSL operates information technology and BPM business in the areas of customer management, transaction processing and collection service to Fortune 500 and FTSE 100 companies in the US and UK that operate in the telecom and media, and banking, financial services and insurance industries. FSL's consolidated gross revenues for the six months ended September 30, 2018, and the year ended March 31, 2018, was Rs. 1,876 crore and Rs. 3,541 crore and its profit after income tax (PAT) on a consolidated basis for the six months ended September 30, 2018, and the year ended March 31, 2018, was Rs. 181 crore and Rs. 327 crore, respectively.
  • Quest Properties India Limited (Quest), which is engaged in the business of property development, operation of 75 mall and other real estate properties and owns and operates the “Quest Mall” in Kolkata, which houses shops, retail outlets, an entertainment zone, a multiplex, food court and fine dining. Quest is also in the business of making various investments including in venture capital funds. CVL’s shareholding in the company is 100%.
  • Bowlopedia Restaurants India Limited,(Bowlopedia), which operates eleven restaurants in Kolkata, New Delhi and the National Capital Region under the brand names Waffle Wallah and The Chef’s Bowl. CVL’s shareholding in the company is 100%.
  • Guiltfree Industries Limited (GIL), which is engaged in the business of fast moving consumer goods under the brand name Too Yumm! CVL’s shareholding in the company is 100%. Additionally, GIL has acquired a stake of 70% in Gujarat based Apricot Food Private Limited, another company engaged in the manufacturing of food products.

Services business and Quest to lend stability. FMCG will ensure growth

Revenue Break-up:

Revenue From operations 7 Feb. 2017 to 31 March 2018 1 Apr. 2018 to 30 Sep 2018 FY19E FY20E FY21E
Sale of FMCG Products 119 196 685 1,027 1,540
Services Revenue 1,760 1,881 3,762 4,138 4,552
Mall Operations 55 51 103 108 113
Contracting Service 10 8 17 18 18
Others 50 24 24 24 24
Total 1,993 2,160 4,590 5,314 6,247

Profit & Loss:

PARTICULARS 7 Feb. 2017 to 31 March 2018 1 Apr. 2018 to 30 Sep 2018
Revenue from Operations 1,993 2,160
COGS 90 133
COGS (% of FMCG Sales) 76.3% 67.8%
Employee Expenses 1,239 1,308
Employee Exp. (% of Sales) 62.2% 60.6%
Other Expenses 447 519
% of Sale 22.4% 24.0%
Total Expenses 1,777 1,959
EBITDA 217 201
Margin (%) 10.9% 9.3%
Depreciation and Amortisation 44 47
EBIT 173 154
Other Income 12 10
EBIT 185 164
Interest 28 21
PBT> 157 143
Tax (9) 16
Rate (%) -5.6% 11.2%
PAT 166 127
Margin (%) 8.3% 5.9%
Minority Interest 88 83
Cons. PAT 78 44

Balance Sheet:

PARTICULARS 7 Feb. 2017 to 31 March 2018 1 Apr. 2018 to 30 Sep 2018
Equity 2,173 2,249
Minority Interest 1,144 1,220
Debt 521 797
Other Liabilities 219 241
Fixed Assets 519 532
Cash 238 153
Investments 169 206
Inventory 42 46
Receivables 401 475
- Payables 139 182

Investment Rationale:
Stable businesses will continue to throw out cash:
The company’s stake in FSL and Quest provides it a good annuity flow of cash. Around 90% of the company’s revenue comes from these ventures which will continue to perform stably going forward. The cash generated from these businesses will help expand the other fast growing businesses of the company. We expect these businesses to continue to do well and keep the cash generation going for the company. FSL alone generated Rs. 1,060 crores in free cash in 5 years to FY18.

FMCG to drive growth:
The company operates two brands in FMCG, namely Too Yumm and e-vita. The company has invested over Rs. 500 crores in the business and plans to invest more to take the annual business revenue to Rs. 10,000 crores in the next five years. Its current annualized revenue is Rs. 500 crores. It has a retail presence in over 4.5 lakh outlets and is expanding at a rapid pace (30,000 outlets every month). It is also setting up an R&D facility in Thane to develop new products. The company already has two plants in Rajkot and Hyderabad and is setting up a new plant in Telangana at an investment of Rs. 247 crores. This plant will have a capacity of 40,000 tonnes per annum.

Too Yum is expanding very fast in the guiltfree snacking market and has already cornered 3.5% of the market in short span of time. As told by the management, it is growing by 20-25% month-on-month. This business will be a major growth driver for the company going forward.

Outlook :
We believe that CVL is a self sustaining growth story, which is expanding fast in a category which is exceptionally large in size. The scope for growth is huge for the company and the management is doing a fine job in developing differentiated products, building the distribution reach and branding. While FSL and Quest will provide an element of certainty in topline and bottomline, FMCG will add growth to the overall business.

 

Industry

Fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) sector is the 4th largest sector in the Indian economy with Household and Personal Care accounting for 50 per cent of FMCG sales in India. Growing awareness, easier access and changing lifestyles have been the key growth drivers for the sector. The urban segment (accounts for a revenue share of around 55 per cent) is the largest contributor to the overall revenue generated by the FMCG sector in India. However, in the last few years, the FMCG market has grown at a faster pace in rural India compared with urban India. Semi-urban and rural segments are growing at a rapid pace and FMCG products account for 50 per cent of total rural spending.

The Retail market in India is estimated to reach US$ 1.1 trillion by 2020 from US$ 840 billion in 2017, with modern trade expected to grow at 20 per cent - 25 per cent per annum, which is likely to boost revenues of FMCG companies. Revenues of FMCG sector reached Rs 3.4 lakh crore (US$ 52.75 billion) in FY18 and are estimated to reach US$ 103.7 billion in 2020. The sector witnessed growth of 16.5 per cent in value terms between July-September 2018; supported by moderate inflation, increase in private consumption and rural income.

CVL's stake in FSL 1,234
Quest Mall 110
FMCG 1,000
Total 2,344
No. of Shares (Crores) 2.7
Per Share Value 884

Profit & Loss Statement:- (Consolidated)

(Rs Crores)

PARTICULARS 7 Feb. 2017 to 31 March 2018 1 Apr. 2018 to 30 Sep 2018 FY19E FY20E FY21E
Revenue from Operations 1993.00 2160.00 4590.00 5314.00 6247.00
COGS 90.00 133.00 452.00 667.00 1001.00
COGS (% of FMCG Sales) 76.30% 67.80% 66.00% 65.00% 65.00%
Employee Expenses 1239.00 1308.00 2731.00 3082.00 3499.00
Employee Exp. (% of Sales) 62.20% 60.60% 59.50% 58.00% 56.00%
Other Expenses 447.00 519.00 1056.00 1169.00 1312.00
% of Sale 22.40% 24.00% 23.00% 22.00% 21.00%
Total Expenses 1777.00 1959.00 4238.00 4919.00 5812.00
EBITDA 217.00 201.00 351.00 395.00 436.00
Margin (%) 10.90% 9.30% 7.70% 7.40% 7.00%
Depreciation and Amortisation 44.00 47.00 48.90 51.34 53.91
EBIT 173.00 154.00 302.00 344.00 382.00
Other Income 12.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00
EBIT 185.00 164.00 312.00 354.00 392.00
Interest 28.00 21.00 22.00 23.00 24.00
PBT 157.00 143.00 291.00 331.00 368.00
Tax (9) 16.00 58.00 66.00 74.00
Rate (%) -5.60% 11.20% 20.00% 20.00% 20.00%
PAT 166.00 127.00 232.00 265.00 294.00
Margin (%) 8.30% 5.90% 5.10% 5.00% 4.70%
Minority Interest 88.00 83.00 166.00 174.00 183.00
Cons. PAT 78.00 44.00 67.00 91.00 111.00
Source: Stockaxis Research, Company Data

Valuation

We value the company using sum of the parts methodology valuing FSL at market cap and assuming a 40% holding company discount. We value Quest Mall at 110 crores and the FMCG business at 1x sales of Rs. 1000.