Sharekhan's research report on Radico Khaitan
Radico Khaitan Limited’s (RKL’s) Q3FY2023 numbers were muted, affected by sluggish volume growth, while higher input cost inflation affected margins. Net revenues grew by just 3%, while PAT decreased by 23% y-o-y (OPM down by 331 bps y-o-y to 12%). Sales volumes of Prestige & Above (P&A) segment grew by 14% in Q3 and 21% in 9MFY23. Volume growth momentum would sustain with Rampur Single Malt Whiskey and Jaisalmer Gin expected to grow strongly ahead of industry in FY2024. Backward-integration, price hikes undertaken in the key markets and better mix will help EBIDTA margin to improve from Q1FY2024. EBIDTA margins to stand at 15% in FY2024 and will consistently improve in stable input cost environment.
Outlook
Stock has seen good run-up of 18% in the past three months and is currently trading at 62.5x, 43.2x and 34.6x its FY2023E, FY2024E and FY2025E EPS, respectively. With risk-reward unfavourable and persistent near-term margin pressures, we downgrade our rating on stock to Hold from Buy earlier.
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