Dolat Capital's research report on UPL
UPL Ltd’s 1QFY21 performance exhibits the company’s acumen and its ability to navigate through tough times. UPL reported a strong operating performance on the back of margin improvement whilst demonstrating prudence in working capital management. Sales came in-line with our estimates at Rs 78.3bn (D.est: Rs 81.4bn), EBITDA/APAT came ahead of our estimates at Rs 18.3/5.7bn (D.est: Rs 13.5/1.91bn). Gross margin expansion of 360 bps and controlled other expenses amidst the pandemic led to a decent EBITDA growth of 10.9% YoY to Rs 18.3bn (assuming exchange difference on debtors/creditors in opex). Interest and depreciation were up by 71.2% and 17.0% YoY to Rs 7.0/5.2bn respectively. UPL had raised USD 500mn through bonds to buy-back their existing USD 500mn notes which are due to mature in Oct-2021, the issue was worth Rs 37.7bn and is now a part of company’s gross debt. The company has already repaid Rs 6.19bn through the same. The company had also raised USD 400 mn via perpetual bonds (which are a part of their equity) at a coupon of 5.35-5.45%. The closing cash of the company stood at Rs 104.6bn. Consequentially, the company’s gross debt inclusive of perpetual bonds stands at ~Rs 350 bn.
Outlook
We value UPL at 8.5x EV/EBITDA and have a target price of Rs 620/share. Maintain our buy rating on the stock.
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